Apr. 25, 2011

戦前期日本の県内総生産と産業構造

袁 堂軍 (一橋大学経済研究所), 攝津斉彦 (一橋大学経済研究所), J.‐P. バッシーノ (ポール・バレリー大学), 深尾京司 (一橋大学経済研究所)

Gross Prefectural Domestic Product and Industrial Structure in Pre-war Japan

Tangjun Yuan (Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University), Tokihiko Settsu (Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University), Jean-Pascal Bassino (Paul Valery University), Kyoji Fukao (Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University)

要旨Abstract

戦前と戦後を比較した日本の所得格差に関する既存研究は,戦前の高格差社会から戦後の低格差社会への変化という図式を描いてきた.本稿では,1890-1940年について府県別の粗付加価値額を,その推計方法を可能な限り明らかにしながら推計し,府県間の経済発展格差の動向を分析した.本稿の分析によって,戦前期の府県間格差は,既存研究で主張されているよりもはるかに低く,戦後の一時期とほぼ同レベルであること,戦前期を通じて格差の縮小傾向が見られたこと,さらに,この格差の縮小が,府県間の同一産業内の労働生産性格差の縮小によって生じたことなど,既存のイメージとは異なる近代日本の経済発展像が提示される.

 Studies comparing regional income in Japan before and after World War II have frequently drawn a picture of radical change from an economy characterized by large regional disparities to one characterized by small regional disparities. This paper comes to a very different conclusion. Based on estimates of prefecture-level value added for five benchmark years from 1890 to 1940 (a detailed description of our estimation methodology is provided), we examine trends in the gap of economic development between prefectures during the pre-war period and find that this gap was much smaller than claimed in preceding studies and, in fact, not much greater than during the post-war period. Observing, moreover, a decline in inter-prefectural differences in terms of per-capita gross value added during the pre-war period, we conduct a factor analysis and find that a major reason for this decline was a decline in inter-prefectural differences in same-industry labor productivity. Thus, the picture of modern Japan's economic development presented here is very different from the one painted by preceding studies.

Full Text

書誌情報Bibliographic information

Vol. 60, No. 2, 2009 , pp. 163-189
HERMES-IR(一橋大学機関リポジトリ): https://doi.org/10.15057/21447
JEL Classification Codes: N15, O18, O47